Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.590668 0.767415 0.967870 1.209110 1.488642 1.799581 2.168798
2025-05-18 0.348739 0.563905 0.842029 1.214255 1.686026 2.251511 2.967783
2025-05-25 0.192331 0.401590 0.713297 1.175891 1.811027 2.621137 3.700676
2025-06-01 0.121932 0.327976 0.677367 1.242031 2.066254 3.165875 4.683615
2025-06-08 0.068460 0.251802 0.611674 1.246286 2.228561 3.594023 5.538114
2025-06-15 0.044762 0.219627 0.607505 1.338593 2.519074 4.207532 6.662408
2025-06-22 0.026511 0.184655 0.585746 1.394319 2.754153 4.751594 7.711847
2025-06-29 0.013764 0.150061 0.551806 1.419777 2.939027 5.227972 8.681491
2025-07-06 0.005163 0.112201 0.494369 1.389109 3.025768 5.559433 9.454583
2025-07-13 0.001864 0.090539 0.467295 1.409981 3.195292 6.017165 10.417111
2025-07-20 0.000434 0.072096 0.439910 1.423665 3.350003 6.454803 11.359533
2025-07-27 0.000008 0.050912 0.390286 1.378630 3.394291 6.719252 12.052583
2025-08-03 NaN 0.033770 0.341398 1.326489 3.423722 6.966581 12.737689
2025-08-10 NaN 0.024997 0.319363 1.334108 3.564260 7.396939 13.708935
2025-08-17 NaN 0.015760 0.282273 1.294253 3.608588 7.670324 14.448503
2025-08-24 NaN 0.013577 0.285991 1.365425 3.876102 8.321183 15.779638
2025-08-31 NaN 0.009359 0.267685 1.370264 4.009188 8.750068 16.776904
2025-09-07 NaN 0.008797 0.280468 1.468862 4.339561 9.520905 18.318591
2025-09-14 NaN 0.007199 0.280451 1.528313 4.590974 10.162958 19.670010
2025-09-21 NaN 0.005184 0.270694 1.555463 4.775286 10.694068 20.856362
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002779 0.244330 1.522830 4.828907 10.999630 21.692080
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001783 0.234996 1.545068 5.001744 11.516146 22.869257
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001032 0.224233 1.559643 5.157353 12.004717 24.007956